Publications

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Journal Papers

8. Lai, D., Nocera, F., Demartino, C., Xiao, Y., and Gardoni, P. (2024), "Probabilistic models of dynamic increase factor (DIF) for reinforced concrete structures: A Bayesian approach." Structural Safety, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2024.102430.

7. Nocera, F., Contento, A., and Gardoni, P. (2023), "Risk Analysis of Supply Chains: The Role of Supporting Structures and Infrastructure." Reliability Engineering & System Safety, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2023.109623.

6. Stochino, F., Nocera, F., and Gardoni, P. (2022), "Physics- based Demand Model and Fragility Functions of Industrial Tanks under blast loading." Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 104798.

5. Nocera, F., and Gardoni, P. (2022), “Selection of the modeling resolution of infrastructure.” Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/mice.12807.

4. Nocera, F., Wang, J., Faleschini, F., Demartino, C., and Gardoni, P. (2022), “Probabilistic model of concrete compressive strength and elastic modulus with substituted rubber aggregates.” Construction and Building Materials, 322, 126145.

3. Sharma, N., Nocera, F., and Gardoni, P. (2021), “Classification and mathematical modeling of infrastructure interdependencies.” Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure, 6(1-2), 4-25.

2. Nocera, F., and Gardoni, P. (2019), “A ground-up approach to estimate the likelihood of business interruption.” International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 5(4), 101314.

1. Nocera, F., Gardoni, P., and Cimellaro, G.P. (2019), “Time-dependent probability of exceeding a target level of recovery.” ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering, 5(4), 04019013.

Book Chapters

2. Nocera, F., and Gardoni, P. (2018), “Modeling Business Interruption as a Function of the Reliability and Resilience of Physical Infrastructure and Social Systems.” In Routledge Handbook of Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure, Paolo Gardoni (Ed.).

1. Nocera, F., Tabandeh, A., Guidotti, R., Boakye, J., and Gardoni, P. (2018), “Physics-based fragility functions: Their mathematical formulation and use in the reliability and resilience analysis of transportation infrastructure.” In Routledge Handbook of Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure, Paolo Gardoni (Ed.).

Conference Papers

6. Nocera, F., and Gardoni, P. (2023). “Digital twins or equivalent infrastructure models? The role of modeling granularity in regional risk analysis of infrastructure.” Proceedings of 33rd European Conference on Safety and
Reliability (ESREL2023), 3-8 September, Southampton, UK.

5. Nocera, F., and Cremen, G. (2023). “Optimal infrastructure design in growing cities: a people-centered risk-informed and (possibly) holistic approach.” Proceedings of SECED 2023 Conference in Earthquake Engineering & Dynamics for a Sustainable Future, 14-15 September 2023, Cambridge, UK.

4. Nocera, F., Gamal, Y., and Cremen, G. (2023), “Facilitating optimal people-centered risk-informed infrastructure design in growing cities, through a holistic lens.” Proceedings of 14th International Conference on Application of Statistics and Probability in civil engineering (ICASP 14), 9-13 July 2023, Dublin, Ireland.

3. Nocera, F., Contento, A., and Gardoni, P. (2022), “Modeling the resilience of supply chains subject to hubs disruptions.” Proceedings of 13th International Conference on Structural Safety & Reliability (ICOSSAR 2021-2022), 20-24 June 2022, Shanghai, China.

2. Nocera, F., Tabandeh, A., and Gardoni, P. (2021), “Physics-based probabilistic models for the reliability analysis of bridges.”Proceedings of 1st Conference of the European Association on Quality Control of Bridges and Structures (EUROSTRUCT 2021), August 29 - September 1 2021, Padova, Italy.

1. Nocera, F., Gardoni, P., and Cimellaro, G.P. (2018), “Time-dependent probability of exceeding restoration levels in resilience analysis.”Proceedings of 9th International Conference on Bridge Maintenance, Safety, and Management
(IABMAS 2018), 9-13 July 2018, Melbourne, Australia.

White Papers

1. Gardoni, P., Tabandeh, A., Sharma, N., and Nocera, F. (2021), “Risk analysis of physical assets: Addressing the current gaps in modeling hazards and structures/ infrastructure.”

Talks

5. “Estimating the duration of business interruption using a system reliability formulation.” ASCE Lifelines Conference
2021-2022, 1-3 February 2022, Los Angeles, USA.

4. “Quantifying the resilience of interdependent infrastructure.” ASCE Lifelines Conference 2021-2022, 1-3 February 2022, Los Angeles, USA.

3. “Digital Twins of Infrastructure.” 31st European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2021), 19-23 September 2021, Angers, France.

2. “Physics-based probabilistic models for the reliability analysis of bridges.” 1st Conference of the European Association on Quality Control of Bridges and Structures (EUROSTRUCT 2021), August 29-September 1 2021, Padova, Italy.

1.“Scalable Decision Model to Achieve Local and Regional Resilience of Interdependent Critical Infrastructure Systems and Communities.” Critical Resilient Interdependent Infrastructure Systems and Processes workshop, 5-6 December 2018, Arlington (VA), USA.